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150128 ||| eng |
020 |
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|a 9781451857634
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100 |
1 |
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|a Valdes, Rodrigo
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245 |
0 |
0 |
|a Are Currency Crises Predictable?
|c Rodrigo Valdes, Ilan Goldfajn
|
260 |
|
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 1997
|
300 |
|
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|a 19 pages
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651 |
|
4 |
|a Thailand
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653 |
|
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|a Business cycles
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653 |
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|a Economic & financial crises & disasters
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653 |
|
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|a International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
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653 |
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|a Cyclical indicators
|
653 |
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|a Financial crises
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653 |
|
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|a Currency; Foreign exchange
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653 |
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|a Foreign Exchange
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653 |
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|a Currency crises
|
653 |
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|a Economic growth
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653 |
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|a Macroeconomics
|
653 |
|
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|a Real exchange rates
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653 |
|
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|a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
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653 |
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|a Exchange rates
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653 |
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|a Financial Risk Management
|
653 |
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|a Foreign exchange
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653 |
|
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|a Financial Crises
|
700 |
1 |
|
|a Goldfajn, Ilan
|
041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
|
989 |
|
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
|
490 |
0 |
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|a IMF Working Papers
|
028 |
5 |
0 |
|a 10.5089/9781451857634.001
|
856 |
4 |
0 |
|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1997/159/001.1997.issue-159-en.xml?cid=2408-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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082 |
0 |
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|a 330
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520 |
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|a This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expected depreciation obtained from survey data partially takes different measures of exchange rate misalignment into consideration, expectations fail to anticipate currency crises
|