Can Debt Crises Be Self-Fulfilling?

Several papers argue that debt crises can be the result of self-fulfilling expectations that no one will lend to a country. I show this type of coordination failure can be eliminated by a combination of state-contingent securities and a mechanism that allows investors to promise to lend only if enou...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Chamon, Marcos
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2004
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Credit 
653 |a Securities 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Investments: Bonds 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a Debts, External 
653 |a Financial instruments 
653 |a Bonds 
653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Debt default 
653 |a Financial Crises 
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520 |a Several papers argue that debt crises can be the result of self-fulfilling expectations that no one will lend to a country. I show this type of coordination failure can be eliminated by a combination of state-contingent securities and a mechanism that allows investors to promise to lend only if enough other investors do so as well. This suggests that runs on the debt of a single borrower (such as the government) can be eliminated, and that self-fulfilling features are more plausible when articulated in a context in which externalities among many decentralized borrowers allow for economy-wide debt runs to occur