Shock Versus Gradualism in Models of Rational Expectations The Case of Trade Liberalization
This paper provides a new argument for “shock” versus “gradualism” in the implementation of trade policies. In the simple context of a small open economy with rational expectations, we consider the comparative welfare effects of eliminating an import tariff either immediately as an unanticipated sho...
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Format: | eBook |
Language: | English |
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Washington, D.C.
International Monetary Fund
1997
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Series: | IMF Working Papers
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Collection: | International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa |
Summary: | This paper provides a new argument for “shock” versus “gradualism” in the implementation of trade policies. In the simple context of a small open economy with rational expectations, we consider the comparative welfare effects of eliminating an import tariff either immediately as an unanticipated shock, or gradually over a preannounced length of time. The gradualist policy introduces a distortion in consumption-accumulation decisions and generates welfare costs. And if the gradual change is extended over “too long” a period, these costs may exceed the long-run benefits of liberalization |
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Physical Description: | 20 pages |
ISBN: | 9781451854459 |