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150128 ||| eng |
020 |
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|a 9781451858938
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100 |
1 |
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|a Kaminsky, Graciela
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245 |
0 |
0 |
|a Currency and Banking Crises
|b The Early Warnings of Distress
|c Graciela Kaminsky
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260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 1999
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300 |
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|a 38 pages
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651 |
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4 |
|a Thailand
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653 |
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|a Economic & financial crises & disasters
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653 |
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|a Depository Institutions
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653 |
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|a Business cycles
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653 |
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|a Banks
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653 |
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|a Cyclical indicators
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653 |
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|a Financial crises
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653 |
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|a Banks and banking
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653 |
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|a Micro Finance Institutions
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653 |
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|a Currency
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653 |
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|a Mortgages
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653 |
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|a Foreign Exchange
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653 |
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|a Currency crises
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653 |
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|a Banks and Banking
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653 |
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|a Economic growth
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653 |
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|a Macroeconomics
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653 |
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|a Banking crises
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653 |
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|a Banking
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653 |
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|a Real exchange rates
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653 |
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|a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
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653 |
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|a Financial Risk Management
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653 |
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|a Foreign exchange
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653 |
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|a Financial Crises
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041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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989 |
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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490 |
0 |
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|a IMF Working Papers
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028 |
5 |
0 |
|a 10.5089/9781451858938.001
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856 |
4 |
0 |
|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1999/178/001.1999.issue-178-en.xml?cid=3372-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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082 |
0 |
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|a 330
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520 |
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|a The abruptness and virulence of the 1997 Asian crises have led many to claim that these crises are of a new breed and were thus unforecastable. This paper examines 102 financial crises in 20 countries and concludes that the Asian crises are not of a new variety. Overall, the 1997 Asian crises, as well as previous crises elsewhere, occur when economies are in distress, making the degree of fragility of the economy a useful indicator of future crises. Based on this idea, the paper proposes different composite leading indicators of crises, evaluated in terms of accuracy both in-sample and out-of-sample
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