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240607 ||| eng |
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|a 9798400254222
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|a Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, October 2023
|b Building Resilience and Fostering Sustainable Growth
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| 260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2023
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| 300 |
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|a 62 pages
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| 653 |
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|a Credit
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| 653 |
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|a Banks
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| 653 |
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|a Finance
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| 653 |
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|a Cross-Country Output Convergence
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| 653 |
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|a Labour; income economics
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| 653 |
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|a Banks and banking
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| 653 |
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|a Aggregate Productivity
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| 653 |
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|a Deflation
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| 653 |
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|a National Deficit Surplus
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| 653 |
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|a Fiscal Policy
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| 653 |
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|a Production
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| 653 |
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|a Aggregate Labor Productivity
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| 653 |
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|a Skills
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| 653 |
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|a Exports and Imports
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| 653 |
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|a Intangible Capital
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| 653 |
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|a Mortgages
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| 653 |
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|a Money
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| 653 |
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|a Labor
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| 653 |
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|a Regional economics
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| 653 |
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|a Currency crises
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| 653 |
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|a Financial markets
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| 653 |
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|a Policy Objectives
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| 653 |
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|a Policy Coordination
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| 653 |
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|a International trade
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| 653 |
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|a International Economics
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| 653 |
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|a Liquidation
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| 653 |
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|a Macroeconomics
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| 653 |
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|a Measurement of Economic Growth
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| 653 |
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|a Occupational Choice
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| 653 |
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|a Banking
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| 653 |
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|a Capacity
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| 653 |
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|a Economic and financial statistics
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| 653 |
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|a Labor productivity
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| 653 |
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|a Capital
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| 653 |
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|a Human Capital
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| 653 |
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|a Labor Standards: Labor Force Composition
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| 653 |
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|a Employment
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| 653 |
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|a Depository Institutions
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| 653 |
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|a Inflation
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| 653 |
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|a Investment
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| 653 |
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|a Short-term Capital Movements
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| 653 |
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|a Information technology industries
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| 653 |
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|a Monetary economics
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| 653 |
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|a Bankruptcy
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| 653 |
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|a Financial institutions
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| 653 |
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|a Policy Designs and Consistency
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| 653 |
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|a Development economics & emerging economies
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| 653 |
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|a International agencies
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| 653 |
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|a Debt Management
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| 653 |
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|a Current Account Adjustment
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| 653 |
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|a Micro Finance Institutions
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| 653 |
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|a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
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| 653 |
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|a Balance of payments
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| 653 |
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|a Debt
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| 653 |
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|a Unemployment
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| 653 |
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|a Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
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| 653 |
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|a Trade: General
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| 653 |
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|a Macrostructural analysis
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| 653 |
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|a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
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| 653 |
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|a Economic forecasting
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| 653 |
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|a Fiscal policy
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| 653 |
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|a International economics
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| 653 |
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|a Aggregate Human Capital
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| 653 |
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|a Sovereign Debt
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| 653 |
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|a Labor Productivity
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| 653 |
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|a Price Level
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| 653 |
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|a Exports
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| 653 |
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|a Banks and Banking
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| 653 |
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|a Institutions and the Macroeconomy
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| 653 |
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|a Labor market
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| 653 |
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|a Prices
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| 653 |
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|a Financial services industry
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| 653 |
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|a Wages
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| 653 |
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|a Intergenerational Income Distribution
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| 653 |
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|a Money and Monetary Policy
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| 653 |
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|a Finance: General
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| 653 |
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|a Financial services law & regulation
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| 653 |
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|a Production and Operations Management
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| 710 |
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|a International Monetary Fund
|b Middle East and Central Asia Dept
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| 041 |
0 |
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|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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| 490 |
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|a Regional Economic Outlook
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| 028 |
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|a 10.5089/9798400254222.086
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| 856 |
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|u https://elibrary.imf.org/display/book/9798400254222/9798400254222.xml?cid=538891-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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|a 330
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| 520 |
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|a Across the Middle East and Central Asia, the combined effects of global headwinds, domestic challenges, and geopolitical risks weigh on economic momentum, and the outlook is highly uncertain. Growth is set to slow this year in the Middle East and North Africa region, driven by lower oil production, tight policy settings in emerging market and middle-income economies, the conflict in Sudan, and other country-specific factors. In the Caucasus and Central Asia, although migration, trade, and financial inflows following Russia’s war in Ukraine continue to support economic activity, growth is set to moderate slightly this year. Looking ahead, economic activity in the Middle East and North Africa region is expected to improve in 2024 and 2025 as some factors weighing on growth this year gradually dissipate, including the temporary oil production cuts. But growth is expected to remain subdued over the forecast horizon amid persistent structural hurdles. In the Caucasus and Central Asia, economic growth is projected to slow next year and over the medium term as the boost to activity from real and financial inflows from Russia gradually fades and deep-seated structural challenges remain unsolved. Inflation is broadly easing, in line with globally declining price pressures, although country-specific factors—including buoyant wage growth in some Caucasus and Central Asia countries—and climate-related events continue to make their mark. Despite some improvement since April, the balance of risks to the outlook remains on the downside. In this context, expediting structural reforms is crucial to boost growth and strengthen resilience, while tight monetary and fiscal policies remain essential in several economies to durably bring down inflation and ensure public debt sustainability
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