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240607 ||| eng |
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|a 9798400241314
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|a Jafarov, Etibar
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|a Too Low for Too Long: Could Extended Periods of Ultra Easy Monetary Policy Have Harmful Effects?
|c Etibar Jafarov, Enrico Minnella
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260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2023
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300 |
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|a 32 pages
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653 |
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|a Interest rates
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653 |
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|a Cross-Country Output Convergence
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653 |
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|a Financial crises
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653 |
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|a Aggregate Productivity
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653 |
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|a Production
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653 |
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|a Recessions
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653 |
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|a Monetary Growth Models
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653 |
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|a Production; Economic theory
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653 |
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|a Unconventional monetary policies
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653 |
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|a Economics of specific sectors
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653 |
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|a Macroeconomics: Production
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653 |
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|a Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009
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653 |
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|a Cycles
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653 |
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|a Currency crises
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653 |
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|a Global financial crisis of 2008-2009
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653 |
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|a Macroeconomics
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653 |
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|a Measurement of Economic Growth
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653 |
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|a Banking
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653 |
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|a Economic & financial crises & disasters
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653 |
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|a Economic recession
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653 |
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|a Output gap
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653 |
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|a Monetary economics
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653 |
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|a Economics: General
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653 |
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|a Monetary expansion
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653 |
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|a Informal sector; Economics
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653 |
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|a Banks and Banking
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653 |
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|a Economic growth
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653 |
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|a Monetary policy
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653 |
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|a Business Fluctuations
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653 |
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|a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
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653 |
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|a Governmental Loans, Loan Guarantees, Credits, and Grants
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653 |
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|a Monetary Policy
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653 |
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|a Money and Monetary Policy
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653 |
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|a Finance: General
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653 |
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|a Production and Operations Management
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653 |
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|a Financial Crises
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700 |
1 |
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|a Minnella, Enrico
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041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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490 |
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|a IMF Working Papers
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028 |
5 |
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|a 10.5089/9798400241314.001
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856 |
4 |
0 |
|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2023/105/001.2023.issue-105-en.xml?cid=532664-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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|a 330
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|a Extended periods of ultra-easy monetary policy in advanced economies have rekindled debates about the zombification of weak companies and its impact on resource allocation, economic growth, inflation, and financial stability. Using both firm-level and macroeconomic data, we find that recessions are a critical factor in the rapid increase in the number of zombie firms. Expansionary monetary policy can help reduce zombification when interest rates are at the zero lower bound (ZBL), but a too-accommodative monetary policy for extended periods is associated with a higher probability of zombification. Small and medium enterprises are more likely to become zombie firms. This raises concerns about the sustainability of too-easy monetary policy implementation, especially in countries where growth is lackluster. Our findings imply a tradeoff between conducting a countercyclical monetary policy, which also helps contain the increase in the number of zombie firms in cyclical downturns, and using an expansionary monetary policy for long periods, which may lead to a combination of low interest rates, low growth, and high financial vulnerability. Such a tradeoff is not a concern currently when most countries are tightening their monetary policy stance, but policymakers should be mindful of it during future recessions
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