Estimating the Demand for Informal Public Transport Evidence from Antananarivo, Madagascar

Informal public transport has been growing rapidly in many developing countries. Because urban infrastructure development tends to lag rapid population growth, informal public transport often meets the growing gap between demand and supply in urban mobility. Despite the rich literature primarily foc...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Iimi, Atsushi
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Estimating the Demand for Informal Public Transport  |h Elektronische Ressource  |b Evidence from Antananarivo, Madagascar  |c Atsushi Iimi 
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300 |a 42 pages 
653 |a Energy Production and Transportation 
653 |a Energy 
653 |a Urban Environment 
653 |a Private Participation in Infrastructure 
653 |a Population Growth 
653 |a Environment 
653 |a Demand Analysis 
653 |a Informal Transportation 
653 |a Informal Public Transport 
653 |a Traffic Congestion 
653 |a Pollution Management and Control 
653 |a Infrastructure Economics and Finance 
653 |a Urban Transportation 
653 |a Urban Transport 
653 |a Transport Globl Knowledge and Expertise 
653 |a Urban Infrastructure 
653 |a Urban Mobility 
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520 |a Informal public transport has been growing rapidly in many developing countries. Because urban infrastructure development tends to lag rapid population growth, informal public transport often meets the growing gap between demand and supply in urban mobility. Despite the rich literature primarily focused on formal transport modes, the informal transport sector is relatively unknown. This paper analyzes the demand behavior in the "informal" minibus sector in Antananarivo, Madagascar, taking advantage of a recent user survey of thousands of people. It finds that the demand for informal public transport is generally inelastic. Essentially, people have no other choice. While the time elasticity is estimated at -0.02 to -0.05, the price elasticity is -0.05 to -0.06 for short-distance travelers, who may have alternative choices, such as motorcycle taxi or walking. Unlike formal public transportation, the demand also increases with income. Regardless of income level, everyone uses minibuses. The estimated demand functions indicate that people prefer safety and more flexibility in transit. The paper shows that combining these improvements and fare adjustments, the informal transport sector can contribute to increasing people's mobility and reducing traffic congestion in the city