Rising Incomes, Transport Demand, and Sector Decarbonization

As income increases, people become more mobile and spend more on carbon-intensive transport goods and services. This paper estimates income elasticities of transport consumption using household survey data for 18 countries, which are then used to simulate transport carbon footprint and carbon inequa...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lebrand, Mathilde
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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100 1 |a Lebrand, Mathilde 
245 0 0 |a Rising Incomes, Transport Demand, and Sector Decarbonization  |h Elektronische Ressource  |c Mathilde Lebrand 
260 |a Washington, D.C  |b The World Bank  |c 2022 
300 |a 61 pages 
653 |a Energy and Environment 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Energy 
653 |a Carbon Policy and Trading 
653 |a Elasticity Of Transport Demand 
653 |a Income and Transport Demand 
653 |a Environment 
653 |a Decarbonization 
653 |a Climate Policy 
653 |a Carbon Footprint 
653 |a Effects Of Rising Income 
653 |a Energy Policy 
653 |a Infrastructure Economics and Finance 
653 |a Energy Sector Regulation 
653 |a Car Ownership 
653 |a Mobility Household Survey Data 
653 |a Infrastructure Regulation 
653 |a Carbon-Intensive Transportation 
653 |a Transport Demand 
653 |a Emissions 
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989 |b WOBA  |a World Bank E-Library Archive 
028 5 0 |a 10.1596/1813-9450-10010 
856 4 0 |u http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-10010  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a As income increases, people become more mobile and spend more on carbon-intensive transport goods and services. This paper estimates income elasticities of transport consumption using household survey data for 18 countries, which are then used to simulate transport carbon footprint and carbon inequality by 2035. It first shows that in low- and middle-income countries (i) many households mostly walk and do not use transport services, (ii) income elasticity of private transport expenditure is high, and (iii) many households do not own a car. Both results suggest a future steep growth of emissions as incomes expand. Using estimates of income elasticities of vehicle ownership and vehicle use, the paper shows that carbon footprint will increase on average by 52 percent for these countries as incomes reach their 2035 levels. Finally, it decomposes carbon dioxide emissions along the within-country income distribution. Car ownership and carbon dioxide emissions are highly concentrated at the top. By 2035, carbon inequality will increase in some countries but decrease in others. Such results can be used for modeling future distributional implications of climate and energy policies