Calibrating Macroprudential Policies in Europe Amid Rising Housing Market Vulnerability

Housing market developments are in the spotlight in Europe. Over-stretched valuations amid tightening financial conditions and a cost-of-living crisis have increased risks of a sustained downturn and exposed challenging trade-offs for macroprudential policy between ensuring financial system resilien...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Valderrama, Laura
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2023
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Banks 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
653 |a Financial sector policy and analysis 
653 |a Housing; Prices 
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653 |a Economic policy 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Value of Firms 
653 |a Economics: General 
653 |a Housing Supply and Markets 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Informal sector; Economics 
653 |a Regulatory Policies 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Financial regulation and supervision 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Macroprudential policy 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Financial services law & regulation 
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520 |a Housing market developments are in the spotlight in Europe. Over-stretched valuations amid tightening financial conditions and a cost-of-living crisis have increased risks of a sustained downturn and exposed challenging trade-offs for macroprudential policy between ensuring financial system resilience and smoothing the macro-financial cycle. Against this backdrop, this paper provides detailed considerations regarding how to (re)set macroprudential policy tools in response to housing-related systemic risk in Europe, providing design solutions to avoid unintended consequences during a tightening phase, and navigating the trade-offs between managing the build-up of vulnerabilities and the macro-financial cycle in a downturn. It also proposes a novel framework to measure the effectiveness of tools and avoid overlaps by quantifying the risks addressed by different macroprudential instruments. Finally, it introduces a taxonomy allowing to assess a country’s macroprudential stance and whether adjustments to current policy settings are warranted—such as the relaxation of capital-based tools and possibly some borrower-based measures in the event of a more severe downturn