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230704 ||| eng |
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|a 9798400235214
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|a Grigoli, Francesco
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|a Public Debt and Household Inflation Expectations
|c Francesco Grigoli, Damiano Sandri
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| 260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2023
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| 300 |
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|a 37 pages
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| 653 |
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|a Short-Term Capital Movements
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| 653 |
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|a Capital Controls
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| 653 |
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|a Current Account Adjustment
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| 653 |
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|a Financial Institutions and Services
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| 653 |
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|a Financial Crises
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| 700 |
1 |
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|a Sandri, Damiano
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| 041 |
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7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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| 989 |
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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|a IMF Working Papers
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| 028 |
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|a 10.5089/9798400235214.001
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| 856 |
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|u https://elibrary.imf.org/openurl?genre=journal&issn=1018-5941&volume=2023&issue=066
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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|a 330
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|a We use randomized controlled trials in the US, UK, and Brazil to examine the causal effect of public debt on household inflation expectations. We find that people underestimate public debt levels and increase inflation expectations when informed about the correct levels. The extent of the revisions is proportional to the size of the information surprise. Confidence in the central bank considerably reduces the sensitivity of inflation expectations to public debt. We also show that people associate high public debt with stagflationary effects and that the sensitivity of inflation expectations to public debt is considerably higher for women and low-income individuals
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