Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error

Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Pickl, Moritz
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Karlsruhe, Germany KIT Scientific Publishing 2023
Series:Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie
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Collection: Directory of Open Access Books - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Description
Summary:Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth.
Item Description:Creative Commons (cc), https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
Physical Description:1 electronic resource (250 p.)
ISBN:1000150862