Scarring and Corporate Debt

This paper estimates the scarring effect of recessions on corporates’ investment and how it is amplified by the level of corporate debt. Our results suggest that the effect of firms’ debt in shaping the response of investment to recessions is statistically significant and economically sizeable, with...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Estefania-Flores, Julia
Other Authors: Furceri, Davide, Gonzalez-Dominguez, Pablo, Kothari, Siddharth
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2022
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 54 pages 
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653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures 
653 |a Capital investments 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Economic recession 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Economics: General 
653 |a Recessions 
653 |a Informal sector; Economics 
653 |a Other Public Investment and Capital Stock 
653 |a Intangible Capital 
653 |a Economics of specific sectors 
653 |a Expenditure 
653 |a Currency crises 
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653 |a Economic growth 
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653 |a Business Fluctuations 
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520 |a This paper estimates the scarring effect of recessions on corporates’ investment and how it is amplified by the level of corporate debt. Our results suggest that the effect of firms’ debt in shaping the response of investment to recessions is statistically significant and economically sizeable, with high debt firms seeing a larger decline in investment than low debt firms. Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that firms’ debt accounts for at least 28 percent of the average medium-term decline of investment following a recession. This effect is especially larger for firms that are credit constrained—small and less profitable firms, as well as firms with high share of short-term debt—and that therefore may find it more difficult to rollover or raise new funds to invest in new projects. The results are robust to several checks, including to various sub-samples, alternative measures of recessions and explanatory variables, and a large set of controls