Cross-Country Evidence on the Revenue Impact of Tax Reforms

Many countries face the challenge of raising additional tax revenues without hurting economic growth. Comprehensive, cross-country information on the revenue impact of tax policy changes can thus support informed decision-making on viable reforms. We assess the likely revenue impact of various tax p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Amaglobeli, David
Other Authors: Crispolti, Valerio, Sheng, Xuguang Simon
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2022
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Cross-Country Evidence on the Revenue Impact of Tax Reforms  |c David Amaglobeli, Valerio Crispolti, Xuguang Simon Sheng 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2022 
300 |a 27 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Revenue administration 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Taxes 
653 |a Tax collection 
653 |a Corporations 
653 |a Economics: General 
653 |a Fiscal Policy 
653 |a Informal sector 
653 |a Corporate income tax 
653 |a Economics of specific sectors 
653 |a Currency crises 
653 |a Business Taxes and Subsidies 
653 |a Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General 
653 |a Corporate & business tax 
653 |a Corporate Taxation 
653 |a Personal Finance -Taxation 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Tax administration and procedure 
653 |a Taxation 
653 |a Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies 
653 |a Value-added tax 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Spendings tax 
653 |a Revenue 
653 |a Income tax 
653 |a Personal income tax 
700 1 |a Crispolti, Valerio 
700 1 |a Sheng, Xuguang Simon 
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520 |a Many countries face the challenge of raising additional tax revenues without hurting economic growth. Comprehensive, cross-country information on the revenue impact of tax policy changes can thus support informed decision-making on viable reforms. We assess the likely revenue impact of various tax policy changes based on a sample of 21 advanced and emerging market economies, using granular information from the IMF Tax Policy Reform Database v.4.0. Our findings suggest that the revenue yield of a tax policy change varies significantly depending on the tax instrument adopted (e.g., VAT or personal income tax) and the nature of the change (i.e., rate, base). For example, in our sample, base-broadening changes to personal and corporate income taxes as well as to excise and property taxes have generally a more significant and long-lasting revenue yields than rate changes. By contrast, rate changes appear to have a relatively more significant revenue impact in the case of VAT and social security contributions. We also observe an asymmetry in the revenue impact of most tax policy measures when controlling for the direction of tax changes (i.e., its significance varies depending on whether taxes are increased or decreased). While our results are based on qualitative information of tax policy changes (i.e., dummy variables), the revenue yields of rate measures are not materially different from those that would be obtained using quantitative information on the size of the change