Masters of uncertainty weather forecasters and the quest for ground truth
Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact exceptionally good at managing uncertainty. They consistently do a better job calibrating their performance than stockbrokers, physicians, or other decision-making experts precisely because they receive feedback on t...
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Chicago ; London
University of Chicago Press
2015, ©2015
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Collection: | DeGruyter MPG Collection - Collection details see MPG.ReNa |
Table of Contents:
- Introduction. Decision making under uncertainty
- The weather prediction enterprise
- Working the weather
- Distilling complexity
- Managing risk
- Anticipating the future
- Whose weather is it anyway?
- Toward a sociology of decision making