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221013 ||| eng |
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|a Baez, Javier E.
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245 |
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|a Adaptive Safety Nets for Rural Africa
|h Elektronische Ressource
|b Drought-Sensitive Targeting with Sparse Data
|c Javier E. Baez
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260 |
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|a Washington, D.C
|b The World Bank
|c 2019
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300 |
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|a 59 pages
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700 |
1 |
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|a Skoufias, Emmanuel
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700 |
1 |
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|a Baez, Javier E.
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700 |
1 |
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|a Kshirsagar, Varun
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041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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989 |
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|b WOBA
|a World Bank E-Library Archive
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490 |
0 |
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|a World Bank E-Library Archive
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028 |
5 |
0 |
|a 10.1596/1813-9450-9071
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856 |
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|u http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-9071
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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082 |
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|a 330
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|a This paper combines remote-sensed data and individual child-, mother-, and household-level data from the Demographic and Health Surveys for five countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, and Zimbabwe) to design a prototype drought-contingent targeting framework that may be used in scarce-data contexts. To accomplish this, the paper: (i) develops simple and easy-to-communicate measures of drought shocks; (ii) shows that droughts have a large impact on child stunting in these five countries-comparable, in size, to the effects of mother's illiteracy and a fall to a lower wealth quintile; and (iii) shows that, in this context, decision trees and logistic regressions predict stunting as accurately (out-of-sample) as machine learning methods that are not interpretable. Taken together, the analysis lends support to the idea that a data-driven approach may contribute to the design of policies that mitigate the impact of climate change on the world's most vulnerable populations
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