Fiscal Spending And Economic Performance Some Stylized Facts

This paper complements the cross-country approach by examining the correlates of growth acceleration in per capita gross domestic product around "significant" public expenditure episodes by reorganizing the data around turning points, or events. The authors define a growth event as an incr...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Carrere, Celine
Other Authors: de Melo, Jaime
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 02695nmm a2200421 u 4500
001 EB002098053
003 EBX01000000000000001238143
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 221013 ||| eng
100 1 |a Carrere, Celine 
245 0 0 |a Fiscal Spending And Economic Performance  |h Elektronische Ressource  |b Some Stylized Facts  |c Carrere, Celine 
260 |a Washington, D.C  |b The World Bank  |c 2008 
300 |a 49 p. 
653 |a Macroeconomics and Economic Growth 
653 |a Fiscal Deficit 
653 |a Fiscal Adjustment 
653 |a Public Sector Expenditure Analysis and Management 
653 |a Public Expenditure 
653 |a Pro-Poor Growth 
653 |a Fiscal Policy 
653 |a Fiscal Expenditure 
653 |a Macroeconomic Stability 
653 |a Growth Rate 
653 |a Public Disclosure 
653 |a Macroeconomic Environment 
653 |a Poverty Reduction 
653 |a Debt Markets 
653 |a Gross Domestic Product 
653 |a Economic Conditions and Volatility 
653 |a Finance and Financial Sector Development 
700 1 |a Carrere, Celine 
700 1 |a de Melo, Jaime 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b WOBA  |a World Bank E-Library Archive 
856 4 0 |u http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4452  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper complements the cross-country approach by examining the correlates of growth acceleration in per capita gross domestic product around "significant" public expenditure episodes by reorganizing the data around turning points, or events. The authors define a growth event as an increase in average per capita growth of at least 2 percentage points sustained for 5 years. A fiscal event is an increase in the annual growth rate of primary fiscal expenditure of approximately 1 percentage point sustained for 5 years and not accompanied by an aggravation of the fiscal deficit beyond 2 percent of gross domestic product. These definitions of events are applied to a database of 140 countries (118 developing countries) for 1972-2005. After controlling for the growth-inducing effects of positive terms-of-trade shocks and of trade liberalization reform, probit estimates indicate that a growth event is more likely to occur in a developing country when surrounded by a fiscal event. Moreover, the probability of occurrence of a growth event in the years following a fiscal event is greater the lower is the associated fiscal deficit, confirming that success of a growth-oriented fiscal expenditure reform hinges on a stabilized macroeconomic environment (through a limited primary fiscal deficit)