The impacts of climate change on regional water resources and agriculture in Africa

This paper summarizes the methods and findings of the hydrological assessment component of the project studying likely impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in Africa. The first phase of the study used a version of a conceptual rainfall-runoff model called WatBal (Water Balanc...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: McCluskey, Alyssa
Other Authors: Strzepek, Kenneth
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2007
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: World Bank E-Library Archive - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a The impacts of climate change on regional water resources and agriculture in Africa  |h Elektronische Ressource  |c McCluskey, Alyssa 
260 |a Washington, D.C  |b The World Bank  |c 2007 
300 |a 68 p. 
653 |a Stream 
653 |a Environment 
653 |a Land use 
653 |a Precipitation 
653 |a Climate 
653 |a Wetlands 
653 |a Water Supply and Systems 
653 |a River 
653 |a Water Resources 
653 |a Water Supply and Sanitation 
653 |a Runoff 
653 |a Climate Change 
653 |a Rainfall 
653 |a Agriculture 
653 |a Hydrology 
700 1 |a McCluskey, Alyssa 
700 1 |a Strzepek, Kenneth 
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082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper summarizes the methods and findings of the hydrological assessment component of the project studying likely impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in Africa. The first phase of the study used a version of a conceptual rainfall-runoff model called WatBal (Water Balance) applied to gridded data to simulate changes in soil moisture and runoff across the whole continent of Africa rather than to any particular catchment or water resource system. The model inputs were the climate variables of the 1961-90 climatology and physiological parameters (such as soil properties and land use) derived from global datasets for each of the 0.5o latitude/longitude cells across the continent. The primary model output comprised a time series (monthly time step) of simulated runoff for all the grid cells for each of the districts in the countries of interest. The second phase of the study extended the hydrology analyses to update the above hydroclimatic series to the year 2000 using updated input data. To ascertain the possible impacts of climate change within the districts being investigated this study used synthetic or GCMbased climate change scenarios as input to the WatBal model. The WatBal model was used to determine the impact of these different scenarios on runoff and actual evaporation and hence flow in the districts under study. The generated hydroclimatic series and scenario analyses were used as inputs into various Ricardian regressions in other analyses measuring likely impacts of climate change on the agricultural economies of Africa