Weather Shocks and Exchange Rate Flexibility

This paper assesses the stabilization properties of fixed versus flexible exchange rate regimes and aims to answer this research question: Does greater exchange rate flexibility help an economy’s adjustment to weather shocks? To address this question, the impact of weather shocks on real per capita...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Elekdag, Selim
Other Authors: Tuuli, Maxwell
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2022
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 03489nmm a2200637 u 4500
001 EB002082749
003 EBX01000000000000001222839
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 220928 ||| eng
020 |a 9798400207600 
100 1 |a Elekdag, Selim 
245 0 0 |a Weather Shocks and Exchange Rate Flexibility  |c Selim Elekdag, Maxwell Tuuli 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2022 
300 |a 38 pages 
651 4 |a Colombia 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Exchange rate arrangements 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Population Growth 
653 |a Natural Disasters and Their Management 
653 |a Environmental Accounts and Accounting 
653 |a Economics: General 
653 |a Climate 
653 |a Exchange rate adjustments 
653 |a Informal sector 
653 |a Currency 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Economics of specific sectors 
653 |a Environment and Development 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Currency crises 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Emerging and frontier financial markets 
653 |a Conventional peg 
653 |a Global Warming 
653 |a Environmental Equity 
653 |a Exchange rate flexibility 
653 |a Sustainability 
653 |a Environment and Growth 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Financial services industry 
653 |a Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General 
653 |a Environment and Trade 
653 |a Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
700 1 |a Tuuli, Maxwell 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
028 5 0 |a 10.5089/9798400207600.001 
856 4 0 |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2022/093/001.2022.issue-093-en.xml?cid=517525-com-dsp-marc  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper assesses the stabilization properties of fixed versus flexible exchange rate regimes and aims to answer this research question: Does greater exchange rate flexibility help an economy’s adjustment to weather shocks? To address this question, the impact of weather shocks on real per capita GDP growth is quantified under the two alternative exchange rate regimes. We find that although weather shocks are generally detrimental to per capita income growth, the impact is less severe under flexible exchange rate regimes. Moreover, the medium-term adverse growth impact of a 1 degree Celsius increase in temperature under a pegged regime is about –1.4 percentage points on average, while under a flexible regime, the impact is less than one half that amount (–0.6 percentage point). This finding bolsters the idea that exchange rate flexibility not only helps mitigate the initial impact of the shock but also promotes a faster recovery. In terms of mechanisms, our findings suggest that the depreciation of the nominal exchange rate under a flexible regime supports real export growth. In contrast to standard theoretical predictions, we find that countercyclical fiscal policy may not be effective under pegged regimes amid high debt, highlighting the importance of the policy mix and precautionary (fiscal) buffers