Financial Crises, Investment Slumps, and Slow Recoveries

One of the most puzzling facts in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is that output across advanced and emerging economies recovered at a much slower rate than anticipated by most forecasting agencies. This paper delves into the mechanics behind the observed slow recovery and the associat...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cerra, Valerie
Other Authors: Hakamada, Mai, Lama, Ruy
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2021
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Financial Crises, Investment Slumps, and Slow Recoveries  |c Valerie Cerra, Mai Hakamada, Ruy Lama 
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300 |a 30 pages 
651 4 |a Brazil 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Labour; income economics 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Self-employed 
653 |a Economics: General 
653 |a Capital and Total Factor Productivity 
653 |a Cost 
653 |a Industrial productivity 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Informal sector; Economics 
653 |a Total factor productivity 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Economics of specific sectors 
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653 |a Currency crises 
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653 |a Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 
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653 |a Labor Demand 
653 |a Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Banking crises 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Financial Crises 
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700 1 |a Lama, Ruy 
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520 |a One of the most puzzling facts in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is that output across advanced and emerging economies recovered at a much slower rate than anticipated by most forecasting agencies. This paper delves into the mechanics behind the observed slow recovery and the associated permanent output losses in the aftermath of the crisis, with a particular focus on the role played by financial frictions and investment dynamics. The paper provides two main contributions. First, we empirically document that lower investment during financial crises is the key factor leading to permanent loss of output and total factor productivity (TFP) in the wake of a crisis. Second, we develop a DSGE model with financial frictions and capital-embodied technological change capable of reproducing the empirical facts. We also evaluate the role of financial policies in stabilizing output and TFP in response to disruptions in financial markets