Government Insurance Against Natural Disasters: An Application to the ECCU

This paper estimates insurance requirements against natural disasters (NDs) in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) using an insurance layering framework. The layers include a government saving fund, as well as market instruments. Each layer is calibrated to cover estimated fiscal cost of NDs...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Guerson, Alejandro
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2020
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Public debt 
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653 |a Natural Disasters 
653 |a Climate 
653 |a Debts, Public 
653 |a Global Warming 
653 |a National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General 
653 |a Actuarial Studies 
653 |a Insurance 
653 |a Institutional Investors 
653 |a Pension Funds 
653 |a Stocks 
653 |a Nature 
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653 |a General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Debt Management 
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653 |a Non-bank Financial Institutions 
653 |a Investments: Stocks 
653 |a Monetary policy 
653 |a Business and Economics 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Natural disasters 
653 |a Standing facilities 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Insurance Companies 
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520 |a This paper estimates insurance requirements against natural disasters (NDs) in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) using an insurance layering framework. The layers include a government saving fund, as well as market instruments. Each layer is calibrated to cover estimated fiscal cost of NDs according to intensity and expected damage. The results indicate that ECCU countries could target saving fund stocks for relativelly smaller and more frequent events in the range of 6-12 percent of GDP, enough to cover 95 percent of NDs’ fiscal costs. To ensure financially-sustainable saving funds with a low probability of depletion, this requires annual budget savings in the range os 0.5 to 1.9 percent of GDP per year. Additional coverage could be obtained with market instruments for large and less frequent events, albeit at a significant cost.The results are based on a Monte-Carlo experiment that simulates natural disaster shocks and their impact on output and government finances