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220928 ||| eng |
| 020 |
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|a 9781513561578
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| 100 |
1 |
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|a Cevik, Serhan
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| 245 |
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0 |
|a Contagion of Fear: Is the Impact of COVID-19 on Sovereign Risk Really Indiscriminate?
|c Serhan Cevik, Belma Öztürkkal
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| 260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2020
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| 300 |
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|a 22 pages
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| 651 |
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4 |
|a South Africa
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| 653 |
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|a COVID-19
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| 653 |
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|a Health
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| 653 |
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|a Energy: Demand and Supply
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| 653 |
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|a Credit
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| 653 |
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|a Oil prices
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| 653 |
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|a Infectious & contagious diseases
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| 653 |
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|a Finance
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| 653 |
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|a Monetary economics
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| 653 |
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|a Contingent Pricing
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| 653 |
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|a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
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| 653 |
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|a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
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| 653 |
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|a Health and Fitness
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| 653 |
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|a option pricing
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| 653 |
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|a International Lending and Debt Problems
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| 653 |
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|a Health Behavior
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| 653 |
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|a Money
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| 653 |
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|a International Financial Markets
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| 653 |
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|a Futures Pricing
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| 653 |
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|a Financial markets
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| 653 |
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|a Emerging and frontier financial markets
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| 653 |
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|a Financial services industry
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| 653 |
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|a Credit default swap
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| 653 |
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|a Prices
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| 653 |
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|a Macroeconomics
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| 653 |
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|a Business and Economics
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| 653 |
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|a Diseases: Contagious
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| 653 |
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|a Communicable diseases
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| 653 |
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|a Money and Monetary Policy
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| 653 |
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|a Finance: General
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| 700 |
1 |
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|a Öztürkkal, Belma
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| 041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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| 989 |
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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| 490 |
0 |
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|a IMF Working Papers
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| 028 |
5 |
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|a 10.5089/9781513561578.001
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| 856 |
4 |
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|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2020/263/001.2020.issue-263-en.xml?cid=49903-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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| 082 |
0 |
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|a 330
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| 520 |
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|a This paper investigates the impact of infectious diseases on the evolution of sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads for a panel of 77 advanced and developing countries. Using annual data over the 2004-2020 period, we find that infectious-disease outbreaks have no discernible effect on CDS spreads, after controlling for macroeconomic and institutional factors. However, our granular analysis using high-frequency (daily) data indicates that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on market-implied sovereign default risk. This adverse effect appears to be more pronounced in advanced economies, which may reflect the greater severity of the pandemic and depth of the ensuing economic crisis in these countries as well as widespread underreporting in developing countries due to differences in testing availability and institutional capacity. While our analysis also shows that more stringent domestic containment measures help lower sovereign CDS spreads, the macro-fiscal cost of efforts aimed at curbing the spread of the disease could undermine credit worthiness and eventually push the cost of borrowing higher
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