India’s Inflation Process Before and After Flexible Inflation Targeting

We study the inflation process in India, focusing on the periods before and after the adoption of flexible inflation-forecast targeting (FIT) in India. Our analysis uses several approaches including standard Phillips curve estimation for headline and core inflation, an examination of the sensitivity...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Blagrave, Patrick
Other Authors: Lian, Weicheng
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2020
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a India’s Inflation Process Before and After Flexible Inflation Targeting  |c Patrick Blagrave, Weicheng Lian 
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300 |a 26 pages 
651 4 |a India 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Import prices 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Inflation targeting 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Food prices 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Emerging and frontier financial markets 
653 |a Financial services industry 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Monetary policy 
653 |a Business and Economics 
653 |a Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Imports 
653 |a Finance: General 
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520 |a We study the inflation process in India, focusing on the periods before and after the adoption of flexible inflation-forecast targeting (FIT) in India. Our analysis uses several approaches including standard Phillips curve estimation for headline and core inflation, an examination of the sensitivity of medium-term inflation expectations to inflation surprises, and the properties of convergence between headline and core inflation. Results indicate an important role for domestic factors in driving the inflation process, and there is evidence that expectations have become more anchored since 2015. This result could be attributable to FIT adoption, or to persistently low food prices which dominate the post-FIT-adoption period. The policy implications of these structural changes in the inflation process are investigated using a semi-structural model calibrated to the Indian economy