Forbearance Patterns in the Post-Crisis Period

Using supervisory loan-level data on corporate loans, we show that banks facing high levels of non-performing loans relative to their capital and provisions were more likely to grant forbearance measures to the riskiest group of borrowers. More specifically, we find that risky borrowers are more lik...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bergant, Katharina
Other Authors: Kockerols, Thore
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2020
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Forbearance Patterns in the Post-Crisis Period  |c Katharina Bergant, Thore Kockerols 
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651 4 |a Ireland 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Credit 
653 |a Asset requirements 
653 |a Capital adequacy requirements 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
653 |a Banks and banking 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Bankruptcy 
653 |a Value of Firms 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Nonperforming loans 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Loans 
653 |a Financial risk management 
653 |a Capital and Ownership Structure 
653 |a Credit risk 
653 |a Goodwill 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Liquidation 
653 |a Financial regulation and supervision 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Financial Risk and Risk Management 
653 |a Financing Policy 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Financial services law & regulation 
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520 |a Using supervisory loan-level data on corporate loans, we show that banks facing high levels of non-performing loans relative to their capital and provisions were more likely to grant forbearance measures to the riskiest group of borrowers. More specifically, we find that risky borrowers are more likely to get an increase in the overall limit or the maturity of a loan product from a distressed lender. As a second step, we analyse the effectiveness of this practice in reducing the probability of default. We show that the most common measure of forbearance is effective in the short run but no forbearance measure significantly reduces the probability of default in the long run. Our evidence also suggests that forbearance and new lending are substitutes for banks, as high shares of forbearance are negatively correlated with new lending to the same group of borrowers. Taken together, these findings can help policy makers shape surveillance and regulation in a future recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic