Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?

Foreign holdings of domestic debt instruments in Nigeria have been increasing. Using data over 2007M1-2019M1, we show that, on average, global factors (global interest rates, oil prices) seem to carry more weight than domestic factors (treasury bills rate and domestic risk) in foreign portfolio inve...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Hosny, Amr
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2020
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 21 pages 
651 4 |a Nigeria 
653 |a Energy: Demand and Supply 
653 |a Public debt 
653 |a Oil prices 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Saving and Capital Investment 
653 |a Debt Management 
653 |a Capital market 
653 |a Debts, Public 
653 |a Domestic debt 
653 |a Debt 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a Economic Development: Financial Markets 
653 |a Debts, External 
653 |a External debt 
653 |a Sovereign Debt 
653 |a International Financial Markets 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a International Finance: General 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Prices 
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653 |a Finance: General 
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653 |a Investment Decisions 
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520 |a Foreign holdings of domestic debt instruments in Nigeria have been increasing. Using data over 2007M1-2019M1, we show that, on average, global factors (global interest rates, oil prices) seem to carry more weight than domestic factors (treasury bills rate and domestic risk) in foreign portfolio invetsors’ decisions in Nigeria. Specifically, we show that foreign participation is, in the long run, positively correlated with oil prices and profitable rates of return on local-currency instruments, but negatively correlated with exchange rate depreciation pressures. In the short run, oil prices, opportunity cost of funds and perception of Nigeria-specific risks also play a role. These results highlight the volatile short-term nature of such flows and call for a package of policy reforms to attract longer term direct investments