How Large and Persistent is the Response of Inflation to Changes in Retail Energy Prices?

We estimate the dynamic effects of changes in retail energy prices on inflation using a novel monthly database, covering 110 countries over 2000:M1 to 2016:M6. We find that (i) inflation responds positively to retail energy price shocks, with effects being, on average, modest and transitory. However...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Abdallah, Chadi
Other Authors: Kpodar, Kangni
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2020
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a How Large and Persistent is the Response of Inflation to Changes in Retail Energy Prices?  |c Chadi Abdallah, Kangni Kpodar 
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300 |a 31 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Energy: Demand and Supply 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Oil prices 
653 |a Personal income 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Fuel prices 
653 |a Environmental Taxes and Subsidies 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities 
653 |a Energy prices 
653 |a Redistributive Effects 
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520 |a We estimate the dynamic effects of changes in retail energy prices on inflation using a novel monthly database, covering 110 countries over 2000:M1 to 2016:M6. We find that (i) inflation responds positively to retail energy price shocks, with effects being, on average, modest and transitory. However, our results suggest significant heterogeneity in the response of inflation to these shocks owing to differences in factors related to labor market flexibility, energy intensity, and monetary policy credibility. We also find compelling evidence of asymmetric effects—under sufficiently large shocks—in the case of high-income and low-income countries, with increases in retail fuel prices inducing larger effects on inflation than decreases in fuel prices