Macroeconomic Effects of Reforms on Three Diverse Oil Exporters: Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the UK

We build and estimate open economy two-bloc DSGE models to study the transmission and impact of shocks in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom. After accounting for country-specific fiscal and monetary sectors, we estimate their key policy and structural parameters. Our findings suggest that...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Beidas-Strom, Samya
Other Authors: Lorusso, Marco
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2019
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Oil
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 03149nmm a2200661 u 4500
001 EB002079702
003 EBX01000000000000001219792
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 220928 ||| eng
020 |a 9781498320504 
100 1 |a Beidas-Strom, Samya 
245 0 0 |a Macroeconomic Effects of Reforms on Three Diverse Oil Exporters: Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the UK  |c Samya Beidas-Strom, Marco Lorusso 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2019 
300 |a 66 pages 
651 4 |a Saudi Arabia 
653 |a Energy: Demand and Supply 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Oil 
653 |a Investments: Energy 
653 |a Taxes 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Fiscal Policy 
653 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a Commodities 
653 |a Energy: General 
653 |a Business Taxes and Subsidies 
653 |a Energy and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Taxation 
653 |a Oil, gas and mining taxes 
653 |a Income economics 
653 |a Bayesian Analysis: General 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Oil prices 
653 |a Labour 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Petroleum industry and trade 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Labor Economics: General 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Labor economics 
700 1 |a Lorusso, Marco 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
028 5 0 |a 10.5089/9781498320504.001 
856 4 0 |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2019/214/001.2019.issue-214-en.xml?cid=47006-com-dsp-marc  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a We build and estimate open economy two-bloc DSGE models to study the transmission and impact of shocks in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom. After accounting for country-specific fiscal and monetary sectors, we estimate their key policy and structural parameters. Our findings suggest that not only has output responded differently to shocks due to differing levels of diversification and structural and policy settings, but also the responses to fiscal consolidation differ: Russia would benefit from a smaller state foot-print, while in Saudi Arabia, unless this is accompanied by structural reforms that remove rigidities, output would fall. We also find that lower oil prices need not be bad news given more oil-intensive production structures. However, lower oil prices have hurt these oil producers as their public finances depend heavily on oil, among other factors. Productivity gains accompanied by ambitious structural reforms, along with fiscal and monetary reforms could support these economies to achieve better outcomes when oil prices fall, including via diversifying exports