Natural Disaster Insurance for Sovereigns: Issues, Challenges and Optimality

Natural disasters are a source of economic risks in many countries, especially in smaller and lower-income states, and ex-ante preparedness is needed to manage the risks. The paper discusses sovereign experience with disaster insurance as a key instrument to mitigate the risks; proposes ways to judg...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cebotari, Aliona
Other Authors: Youssef, Karim
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2020
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a Costa Rica 
653 |a Insurance companies 
653 |a Institutional Investors 
653 |a Pension Funds 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a International relief 
653 |a Natural Disasters and Their Management 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Financial Forecasting and Simulation 
653 |a Natural Disasters 
653 |a Environment 
653 |a Disaster aid 
653 |a Financial Instruments 
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653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a Investments: Options 
653 |a Derivative securities 
653 |a Non-bank Financial Institutions 
653 |a Global Warming 
653 |a International Fiscal Issues 
653 |a Foreign Aid 
653 |a Foreign aid 
653 |a Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt 
653 |a Natural disasters 
653 |a Actuarial Studies 
653 |a International Public Goods 
653 |a Insurance Companies 
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520 |a Natural disasters are a source of economic risks in many countries, especially in smaller and lower-income states, and ex-ante preparedness is needed to manage the risks. The paper discusses sovereign experience with disaster insurance as a key instrument to mitigate the risks; proposes ways to judge the adequacy of insurance; and considers ways to enhance its use by vulnerable countries. The paper especially aims to inform policy decisions on disaster insurance. Through simulations of natural disasters and various insurance options, we find that sovereign decisions on optimal risk transfer involve balancing trade-offs between growth and debt, based on government risk preferences and country risk exposure. The choice of optimal insurance for smaller countries turns out to be more constrained by cost considerations due to their higher exposure, likely resulting in underinsurance; donor grants could help them achieve a more optimal protection. We also find that optimal insurance packages are those that are least costly relative to expected payouts (i.e. have the lowest insurance multiple), which are also the packages that insure less severe (more frequent) disasters