The Political Costs of Reforms Fear or Reality?

Many countries are experiencing persistent, weak medium-term growth and limited fiscal space. Against this background, economic policy agendas—in both advanced and developing economies—are focusing increasingly on structural reforms. While there is broad agreement on the economic benefits of structu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Furceri, Davide
Other Authors: Ge, Jun, Ostry, Jonathan, Papageorgiou, Chris
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2019
Series:Staff Discussion Notes
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Unemployment Insurance 
653 |a Cross-Country Output Convergence 
653 |a Aggregate Productivity 
653 |a Fiscal Policy 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
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653 |a Legal Monopolies and Regulation or Deregulation 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Measurement of Economic Growth 
653 |a Institutions and Growth 
653 |a Economics of Regulation 
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653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
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653 |a Political Economy 
653 |a Financial sector reform 
653 |a General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Fiscal consolidation 
653 |a Macrostructural analysis 
653 |a Fiscal policy 
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520 |a Many countries are experiencing persistent, weak medium-term growth and limited fiscal space. Against this background, economic policy agendas—in both advanced and developing economies—are focusing increasingly on structural reforms. While there is broad agreement on the economic benefits of structural reforms, the political-economy of reform is less settled. This is because reforms may generate gains only in the longer term while distributional effects may be sizable in the short run, and because governments may lack political capital to confront vocal interest groups. In these circumstances, politicians may hold back on reforms, fearing they will be penalized at the ballot box. The aim of this Staff Discussion Note is to examine whether the fear of a political cost associated with structural reforms is justified by the available evidence, and whether there are lessons from the data about how reform strategies might be designed to mitigate potential political costs. It provides a major addition to recent IMF analysis examining the output and employment effect of reforms