Forecasting the impact of maternal undernutrition on child health outcomes in Indonesia

Maternal nutrition influences a child's birthweight, which affects the child's growth and subsequent survival. However, the broad consequences of maternal undernutrition and the outcomes of interventions to improve maternal nutrition take years to manifest. To examine the long-term health...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cooley, Philip Chester
Corporate Author: RTI International
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Research Triangle Park, NC RTI International 2016, December 2016
Series:RTI Press research report
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: National Center for Biotechnology Information - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Forecasting the impact of maternal undernutrition on child health outcomes in Indonesia  |h Elektronische Ressource  |c Philip C. Cooley [and 7 others] 
260 |a Research Triangle Park, NC  |b RTI International  |c 2016, December 2016 
300 |a 1 PDF file (13 pages)  |b illustrations 
505 0 |a Includes bibliographical references 
653 |a Mothers 
653 |a Indonesia 
653 |a Models, Statistical 
653 |a Child Nutrition Disorders / prevention & control 
653 |a Infant, Low Birth Weight 
653 |a Infant Nutrition Disorders / prevention & control 
653 |a Malnutrition / complications 
653 |a Malnutrition / diet therapy 
653 |a Food Assistance 
710 2 |a RTI International 
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490 0 |a RTI Press research report 
500 |a "RTI Press publication RR-0028-1612"--Title page verso 
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520 |a Maternal nutrition influences a child's birthweight, which affects the child's growth and subsequent survival. However, the broad consequences of maternal undernutrition and the outcomes of interventions to improve maternal nutrition take years to manifest. To examine the long-term health outcomes of low birthweight infants in response to a maternal nutritional supplementation intervention without this obstacle, we developed the Forecasting Population Progress (FPOP), a microsimulation model. The intervention we assessed was based on the findings of a published clinical trial outcome that reduced the incidence of low birthweight, a known cause of stunting. We implemented the "before intervention" and "after intervention" simulations and generated the difference in outcomes, using a spatially explicit synthetic baseline population of Indonesia generated from a microdata sample of the Indonesian 2010 census. We focused specifically on two provinces--Yogyakarta and Bali--which represent different levels of fertility and mortality but both exhibit significant underweight birth. The baseline scenario represented the current nutritional status of pregnant women in the two Indonesian provinces and projected that implementing a multiple nutrition supplementation intervention would, after 30 years, avert 8 per 1,000 low birthweight births, 3.8 per 1,000 stunted children younger than 5 years of age, and .25 infant deaths per 1,000 births. As our model results demonstrate, improvement in maternal nutrition would reduce infant mortality, but an even greater impact could be the reduction in growth stunting