Duelling idiots and other probability puzzlers

What are your chances of dying on your next flight, being called for jury duty, or winning the lottery? We all encounter probability problems in our everyday lives. In this collection of twenty-one puzzles, Paul Nahin challenges us to think creatively about the laws of probability as they apply in p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nahin, Paul J.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Princeton, New Jersey ; Oxford Princeton University Press 2012, ©2002
Edition:with a new preface by the author
Series:Princeton Puzzlers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: DeGruyter MPG Collection - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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505 0 |a Cover; Contents; Acknowledgments; Preface to the Paperback Edition; Preface; Introduction; The Problems; 1. How to Ask an Embarrassing Question; 2. When Idiots Duel; 3. Will the Light Bulb Glow?; 4. The Underdog and the World Series; 5. The Curious Case of the Snony Birthdays; 6. When Human Flesh Begins to Fail; 7. Baseball Again, and Mortal Flesh, Too; 8. Ball Madness; 9. Who Pays for the Coffee?; 10. The Chess Champ versus the Gunslinger; 11. A Different Slice of Probabilistic Pi; 12. When Negativity Is a No-No; 13. The Power of Randomness; 14. The Random Radio 15. An Inconceivable Difficulty16. The Unsinkable Tub Is Sinking! How to Find Her, Fast; 17. A Walk in the Garden; 18. Two Flies Stuck on a Piece of Flypaper-How Far Apart?; 19. The Blind Spider and the Fly; 20. Reliably Unreliable; 21. When Theory Fails, There Is Always the Computer; The Solutions; Random Number Generators; ""Some Things Just Have to Be Done By Hand!""; MATLAB Programs; Index 
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520 3 |a What are your chances of dying on your next flight, being called for jury duty, or winning the lottery? We all encounter probability problems in our everyday lives. In this collection of twenty-one puzzles, Paul Nahin challenges us to think creatively about the laws of probability as they apply in playful, sometimes deceptive, ways to a fascinating array of speculative situations. Games of Russian roulette, problems involving the accumulation of insects on flypaper, and strategies for determining the odds of the underdog winning the World Series all reveal intriguing dimensions to the workings of probability. Over the years, Nahin, a veteran writer and teacher of the subject, has collected these and other favorite puzzles designed to instruct and entertain math enthusiasts of all backgrounds. If idiots A and B alternately take aim at each other with a six-shot revolver containing one bullet, what is the probability idiot A will win? What are the chances it will snow on your birthday in any given year? How can researchers use coin flipping and the laws of probability to obtain honest answers to embarrassing survey questions? The solutions are presented here in detail, and many contain a profound element of surprise. And some puzzles are beautiful illustrations of basic mathematical concepts: "The Blind Spider and the Fly," for example, is a clever variation of a "random walk" problem, and "Duelling Idiots" and "The Underdog and the World Series" are straightforward introductions to binomial distributions.