Trade-off analytics creating and exploring the system tradespace

Using multiple examples from defense and commercial domains, this book provides a sound trade-off analysis framework to generate the tradespace and evaluate value and risk to support system decision-making throughout the life cycle. --

Bibliographic Details
Other Authors: Parnell, Gregory S. (Editor)
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Hoboken, New Jersey John Wiley & Sons 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: O'Reilly - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 11043nmm a2200457 u 4500
001 EB001952183
003 EBX01000000000000001115085
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 210123 ||| eng
020 |a 1119238307 
020 |a 9781119237556 
020 |a 9781119238300 
020 |a 111923753X 
020 |a 1119237556 
050 4 |a TA168 
100 1 |a Parnell, Gregory S.  |e editor 
245 0 0 |a Trade-off analytics  |b creating and exploring the system tradespace  |c edited by Gregory S. Parnell 
260 |a Hoboken, New Jersey  |b John Wiley & Sons  |c 2017 
300 |a 1 volume  |b illustrations 
505 0 |a 10.7.2 Tradespace Exploration and Uncertainty -- 10.7.3 Tradespace Exploration with Spiral Development -- 10.7.4 Tradespace Exploration in Relation to Optimization and Decision Theory -- 10.8 Illustrative Example -- 10.8.1 Step 1: Determine Key Decision-Makers -- 10.8.2 Step 2: Scope and Bound the Mission -- 10.8.3 Step 3: Elicit Attributes and Utilities (Preference Capture) -- 10.8.4 Step 4: Define Design Vector Elements (Concept Generation) -- 10.8.5 Step 5: Develop Model(s) (Evaluation) -- 10.8.6 Step 6: Generate the Tradespace (Computation) -- 10.8.7 Step 7: Explore the Tradespace (Analysis and Synthesis) -- 10.9 Conclusions -- 10.10 Key Terms -- 10.11 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 11 Architecture Evaluation Framework -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.1.1 Architecture in the Decision Space -- 11.1.2 Architecture Evaluation -- 11.1.3 Architecture Views and Viewpoints -- 11.1.4 Stakeholders -- 11.1.5 Stakeholder Concerns -- 11.1.6 Architecture versus Design -- 11.1.7 On the Uses of Architecture -- 11.1.8 Standardizing on an Architecture Evaluation Strategy -- 11.2 Key Considerations in Evaluating Architectures -- 11.2.1 Plan-Driven Evaluation Effort -- 11.2.2 Objectives-Driven Evaluation -- 11.2.3 Assessment versus Analysis -- 11.3 Architecture Evaluation Elements -- 11.3.1 Architecture Evaluation Approach -- 11.3.2 Architecture Evaluation Objectives -- 11.3.3 Evaluation Approach Examples -- 11.3.4 Value Assessment Methods -- 11.3.5 Value Assessment Criteria -- 11.3.6 Architecture Analysis Methods -- 11.4 Steps in an Architecture Evaluation Process -- 11.5 Example Evaluation Taxonomy -- 11.5.1 Business Impact Factors -- 11.5.2 Mission Impact Factors -- 11.5.3 Architecture Attributes -- 11.6 Summary -- 11.7 Key Terms -- 11.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 12 Exploring the Design Space -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Example 1: Liftboat 
505 0 |a 6.2.2 Technical Knowledge -- 6.2.3 Business Knowledge -- 6.2.4 Expert Knowledge -- 6.2.5 Stakeholder Knowledge -- 6.3 Decision Traps -- 6.4 Techniques -- 6.4.1 Interviews -- 6.4.2 Focus Groups -- 6.4.3 Surveys -- 6.5 Tools -- 6.5.1 Concept Map -- 6.5.2 System Boundary -- 6.5.3 Decision Hierarchy -- 6.5.4 Issues List -- 6.5.5 Vision Statement -- 6.5.6 Influence Diagram -- 6.5.7 Selecting Appropriate Tools and Techniques -- 6.6 Illustrative Examples -- 6.6.1 Commercial -- 6.6.2 Defense -- 6.7 Key Terms -- 6.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 7 Identifying Objectives and Value Measures -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 Value-Focused Thinking -- 7.2.1 Four Major VFT Ideas -- 7.2.2 Benefits of VFT -- 7.3 Shareholder and Stakeholder Value -- 7.3.1 Private Company Example -- 7.3.2 Government Agency Example -- 7.4 Challenges in Identifying Objectives -- 7.5 Identifying the Decision Objectives -- 7.5.1 Questions to Help Identify Decision Objectives -- 7.5.2 How to Get Answers to the Questions -- 7.6 The Financial or Cost Objective -- 7.6.1 Financial Objectives for Private Companies -- 7.6.2 Cost Objective for Public Organizations -- 7.7 Developing Value Measures -- 7.8 Structuring Multiple Objectives -- 7.8.1 Value Hierarchies -- 7.8.2 Techniques for Developing Value Hierarchies -- 7.8.3 Value Hierarchy Best Practices -- 7.8.4 Cautions about Cost and Risk Objectives -- 7.9 Illustrative Examples -- 7.9.1 Military Illustrative Example -- 7.9.2 Homeland Security Illustrative Example -- 7.10 Summary -- 7.11 Key Terms -- 7.12 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 8 Developing and Evaluating Alternatives -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 Overview of Decision-making, Creativity, and Teams -- 8.2.1 Approaches to Decision-Making -- 8.2.2 Cognitive Methods for Creating Alternatives -- 8.2.3 Key Concepts for Building and Operating Teams -- 8.3 Alternative Development Techniques 
505 0 |a Includes bibliographical references and index 
505 0 |a 8.3.1 Structured Creativity Methods -- 8.3.2 Morphological Box -- 8.3.3 Pugh Method for Alternative Generation -- 8.3.4 TRIZ for Alternative Development -- 8.4 Assessment of Alternative Development Techniques -- 8.5 Alternative Evaluation Techniques -- 8.5.1 Decision-Theory-Based Approaches -- 8.5.2 Pugh Method for Alternative Evaluation -- 8.5.3 Axiomatic Approach to Design (AAD) -- 8.5.4 TRIZ for Alternative Evaluation -- 8.5.5 Design of Experiments (DOE) -- 8.5.6 Taguchi Approach -- 8.5.7 Quality Function Deployment (QFD) -- 8.5.8 Analytic Hierarchy Process AHP -- 8.6 Assessment of Alternative Evaluation Techniques -- 8.7 Key Terms -- 8.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 9 An Integrated Model for Trade-Off Analysis -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Conceptual Design Example -- 9.3 Integrated Approach Influence Diagram -- 9.3.1 Decision Nodes -- 9.3.2 Uncertainty Nodes -- 9.3.3 Constant Node -- 9.3.4 Value Nodes -- 9.4 Other Types of Trade-Off Analysis -- 9.5 Simulation Tools -- 9.5.1 Monte Carlo Simulation Proprietary Add-Ins -- 9.5.2 The Discipline of Probability Management -- 9.5.3 SIPmathTM Tool in Native Excel -- 9.5.4 Model Building Steps -- 9.6 Summary -- 9.7 Key Terms -- 9.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 10 Exploring Concept Trade-Offs -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.1.1 Key Concepts, Concept Trade-Offs, and Concept Exploration -- 10.2 Defining the Concept Space and System Concept of Operations -- 10.3 Exploring the Concept Space -- 10.3.1 Storytelling-Enabled Tradespace Exploration -- 10.3.2 Decisions and Outcomes -- 10.3.3 Contingent Decision-Making -- 10.4 Trade-off Analysis Frameworks -- 10.5 Tradespace and System Design Life Cycle -- 10.6 From Point Trade-offs to Tradespace Exploration -- 10.7 Value-based Multiattribute Tradespace Analysis -- 10.7.1 Tradespace Exploration and Sensitivity Analysis 
505 0 |a Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of Contributors -- About the Authors -- Foreword -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- About the Companion Website -- Chapter 1 Introduction to Trade-off Analysis -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Trade-off Analyses Throughout the Life Cycle -- 1.3 Trade-off Analysis to Identify System Value -- 1.4 Trade-off Analysis to Identify System Uncertainties and Risks -- 1.5 Trade-off Analyses can Integrate Value and Risk Analysis -- 1.6 Trade-off Analysis in the Systems Engineering Decision Management Process -- 1.7 Trade-off Analysis Mistakes of Omission and Commission -- 1.7.1 Mistakes of Omission -- 1.7.2 Mistakes of Commission -- 1.7.3 Impacts of the Trade-Off Analysis Mistakes -- 1.8 Overview of the Book -- 1.8.1 Illustrative Examples and Techniques Used in the Book -- 1.9 Key Terms -- 1.10 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 2 A Conceptual Framework and Mathematical Foundation for Trade-Off Analysis -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Trade-Off Analysis Terms -- 2.3 Influence Diagram of the Tradespace -- 2.3.1 Stakeholder Needs, System Functions, and Requirements -- 2.3.2 Objectives -- 2.3.3 System Alternatives -- 2.3.4 Uncertainty -- 2.3.5 Preferences and Evaluation of Alternatives -- 2.3.6 Resource Analysis -- 2.3.7 An Integrated Trade-Off Analyses -- 2.4 Tradespace Exploration -- 2.5 Summary -- 2.6 Key Words -- 2.7 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 3 Quantifying Uncertainty -- 3.1 Sources of Uncertainty in Systems Engineering -- 3.2 The Rules of Probability and Human Intuition -- 3.3 Probability Distributions -- 3.3.1 Calculating Probabilities from Experiments -- 3.3.2 Calculating Complex Probabilities from Simpler Probabilities -- 3.3.3 Calculating Probabilities Using Parametric Distributions -- 3.3.4 Applications of Parametric Probability Distributions -- 3.4 Estimating Probabilities 
505 0 |a 3.4.1 Using Historical Data -- 3.4.2 Using Human Judgment -- 3.4.3 Biases in Judgment -- 3.5 Modeling Using Probability -- 3.5.1 Bayes Nets -- 3.5.2 Monte Carlo Simulation -- 3.5.3 Monte Carlo Simulation with Dependent Uncertainties -- 3.5.4 Monte Carlo Simulation with Partial Information on Output Values -- 3.5.5 Variations on Monte Carlo Simulation -- 3.5.6 Sensitivity Analysis -- 3.6 Summary -- 3.7 Key Terms -- 3.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 4 Analyzing Resources -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Resources -- 4.2.1 People -- 4.2.2 Facilities -- 4.2.3 Costs -- 4.2.4 Resource Space -- 4.3 Cost Analysis -- 4.3.1 Cost Estimation -- 4.3.2 Cost Estimation Techniques -- 4.3.3 Learning Curves -- 4.3.4 Net Present Value -- 4.3.5 Monte Carlo Simulation -- 4.3.6 Sensitivity Analysis -- 4.4 Affordability Analysis -- 4.4.1 Background -- 4.4.2 The Basics of Affordability Analysis Are Not Difficult -- 4.4.3 DoD Comparison of Cost Analysis and Affordability Analysis -- 4.4.4 Affordability Analysis Definitions -- 4.4.5 "Big A" Affordability Analysis Process Guide -- 4.5 Key Terms -- 4.6 Excercises -- References -- Chapter 5 Understanding Decision Management -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 Decision Process Context -- 5.3 Decision Process Activities -- 5.3.1 Frame Decision -- 5.3.2 Develop Objectives and Measures -- 5.3.3 Generate Creative Alternatives -- 5.3.4 Assess Alternatives via Deterministic Analysis -- 5.3.5 Synthesize Results -- 5.3.6 Develop Multidimensional Value Model -- 5.3.7 Identify Uncertainty and Conduct Probabilistic Analysis -- 5.3.8 Assess Impact of Uncertainty -- 5.3.9 Improve Alternatives -- 5.3.10 Communicating Trade-Offs -- 5.3.11 Present Recommendation and Implementation Plan -- 5.4 Summary -- 5.5 Key Terms -- 5.6 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 6 Identifying Opportunities -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 Knowledge -- 6.2.1 Domain Knowledge 
653 |a TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Reference / bisacsh 
653 |a Systems engineering / Decision making 
653 |a Décision multicritère 
653 |a Multiple criteria decision making / fast 
653 |a TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Engineering (General) / bisacsh 
653 |a Multiple criteria decision making / http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh89005914 
653 |a Ingénierie des systèmes / Prise de décision 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b OREILLY  |a O'Reilly 
776 |z 9781119237532 
856 4 0 |u https://learning.oreilly.com/library/view/~/9781119237532/?ar  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 620.0068/4 
082 0 |a 153.83 
082 0 |a 620 
520 |a Using multiple examples from defense and commercial domains, this book provides a sound trade-off analysis framework to generate the tradespace and evaluate value and risk to support system decision-making throughout the life cycle. --