Handbook of economic forecasting, Volume 2B

The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Elliott, Graham
Other Authors: Timmermann, Allan
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Amsterdam Elsevier North-Holland 2013
Series:Handbooks in economics
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: O'Reilly - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Handbook of economic forecasting, Volume 2B  |c edited by Graham Elliott, Allan Timmermann 
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300 |a xiv, 689-1324, xv pages :  |b illustrations (some color) 
505 0 |a Includes bibliographical references and index 
505 0 |a Half Title; Title Page; Copyright; Dedication; Contents; Introduction to the Series; Contributors; Section III Forecasters' Objectives; 12 Forecasters' Objectives and Strategies; 13 Forecasting Exchange Rates: an Investor Perspective; Section IV Methodology; 14 Variable Selection in Predictive Regressions; References; 15 Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression; Appendix B. State-Space Models; B.1. Kalman Filter; B.2. Smoothing; B.3. Simulation Smoother; Appendix C. Distributions; Acknowledgements; References; 16 Copula Methods for Forecasting Multivariate Time Series 
505 0 |a 17 Quantile Prediction18 Panel Data Forecasting; 19 Forecasting Binary Outcomes; 20 Advances in Forecast Evaluation; Appendix A Asymptotic Derivations for Out-of-Sample Inference: Examples; A.1. Test of Zero Mean Prediction Error: West (1996); A.2. Test of Equal Predictive Ability for Nested Models:Clark and McCracken (2001); A.3. Test of Zero Mean Prediction Error: Giacomini and White (2006); Acknowledgments; References; 21 Advances in Forecasting under Instability; INDEX; A; B; C; D; E; F; G; H; I; J; K; L; M; N; O; P; Q; R; S; T; U; V; W; Y; Z. 
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520 |a The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial a