Fundamental and Speculative Demands for Housing

This paper separates the roles of demand for housing services and belief about future house prices in a house price cycle, by utilizing a feature of user-cost-of-housing that it is sensitive to demand for housing services only. Optimality conditions of producing housing services determine user-cost-...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lian, Weicheng
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2019
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Fundamental and Speculative Demands for Housing  |c Weicheng Lian 
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300 |a 54 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a General Aggregative Models: General 
653 |a Real Estate 
653 |a Price structures 
653 |a Infrastructure 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets 
653 |a Housing Supply and Markets 
653 |a Housing 
653 |a Housing; Prices 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Property & real estate 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Cycles 
653 |a Consumption; Economics 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location: General 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Land prices 
653 |a Housing prices 
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520 |a This paper separates the roles of demand for housing services and belief about future house prices in a house price cycle, by utilizing a feature of user-cost-of-housing that it is sensitive to demand for housing services only. Optimality conditions of producing housing services determine user-cost-of-housing and the elasticity of substitution between land and structures in producing housing services. I find that the impact of demand for housing services on house prices is amplified by a small elasticity of substitution, and demand explained four fifths of the U.S. house price boom in the 2000s