Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model

We estimate and forecast growth in euro area monthly GDP and its components from the dynamic factor model of Doz et al. (2006), which handles unbalanced data sets in an efficient way. We extend the model to integrate interpolation and forecasting with cross-equation accounting identities. A pseudo r...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Angelini, Elena
Other Authors: Banbura, Marta, Rünstler, Gerhard
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Paris OECD Publishing 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: OECD Books and Papers - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 01461nma a2200265 u 4500
001 EB001830265
003 EBX01000000000000000996711
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 180616 ||| eng
100 1 |a Angelini, Elena 
245 0 0 |a Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model  |h Elektronische Ressource  |c Elena, Angelini, Marta, Banbura and Gerhard, Rünstler 
260 |a Paris  |b OECD Publishing  |c 2010 
300 |a 22 p 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Euro Area 
700 1 |a Banbura, Marta 
700 1 |a Rünstler, Gerhard 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b OECD  |a OECD Books and Papers 
024 8 |a /10.1787/jbcma-2010-5kmmsxgf2qbs 
773 0 |t OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 
856 4 0 |a oecd-ilibrary.org  |u https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2010-5kmmsxgf2qbs  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a We estimate and forecast growth in euro area monthly GDP and its components from the dynamic factor model of Doz et al. (2006), which handles unbalanced data sets in an efficient way. We extend the model to integrate interpolation and forecasting with cross-equation accounting identities. A pseudo real-time forecasting exercise indicates that the model outperforms various benchmarks, such as quarterly time-series models and bridge equations, in forecasting growth in quarterly GDP and its components