Links between weak investment and the slowdown in productivity and potential output growth across the OECD

The OECD framework for estimating potential output is combined with previous OECD empirical research to analyse the causes of recent weak productivity growth. Current weak labour productivity growth in many OECD countries reflects historically weak contributions from both total factor productivity (...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ollivaud, Patrice
Other Authors: Guillemette, Yvan, Turner, David
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Paris OECD Publishing 2016
Series:OECD Economics Department Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: OECD Books and Papers - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 02923nma a2200277 u 4500
001 EB001830254
003 EBX01000000000000000996700
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 180616 ||| eng
100 1 |a Ollivaud, Patrice 
245 0 0 |a Links between weak investment and the slowdown in productivity and potential output growth across the OECD  |h Elektronische Ressource  |c Patrice, Ollivaud, Yvan, Guillemette and David, Turner 
246 2 1 |a Les liens entre la faiblesse de l'investissement et le ralentissement de la croissance de la productivité et de la production potentielle dans l'OCDE / Patrice, Ollivaud, Yvan, Guillemette et David, Turner 
246 3 1 |a Les liens entre la faiblesse de l'investissement et le ralentissement de la croissance de la productivité et de la production potentielle dans l'OCDE 
260 |a Paris  |b OECD Publishing  |c 2016 
300 |a 28 p.  |c 21 x 29.7cm 
653 |a Economics 
700 1 |a Guillemette, Yvan 
700 1 |a Turner, David 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b OECD  |a OECD Books and Papers 
490 0 |a OECD Economics Department Working Papers 
024 8 |a /10.1787/5jlwvz0smq45-en 
856 4 0 |a oecd-ilibrary.org  |u https://doi.org/10.1787/5jlwvz0smq45-en  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a The OECD framework for estimating potential output is combined with previous OECD empirical research to analyse the causes of recent weak productivity growth. Current weak labour productivity growth in many OECD countries reflects historically weak contributions from both total factor productivity (TFP) growth and capital deepening. The slowdown in trend productivity growth in the pre-crisis period is mostly explained by a long-established slowdown in TFP growth, but since the crisis, the further deceleration is mainly due to weak capital deepening, a development apparent in practically every OECD country. Much of the weakness in the growth of the capital stock since the financial crisis can be explained by an accelerator response of investment to continued demand weakness, leading in turn to a deterioration in potential output via a hysteresis-like effect. Circumstantial evidence suggests that a misallocation of capital in the pre-crisis period also contributed to the slowdown in capital stock growth, particularly among the most severely affected countries. In many OECD countries, declining government investment as a share of GDP has further exacerbated post-crisis weakness in capital stock growth, both directly and probably indirectly via adverse spillover effects on business investment. Finally, at a time when the use of conventional macro policy instruments has become increasingly constrained, the slower pace of structural reform represents a missed opportunity, not least because more competitionfriendly product market regulation could have boosted both investment and potential growth