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180616 ||| eng |
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|a Arntz, Melanie
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|a The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries
|h Elektronische Ressource
|b A Comparative Analysis
|c Melanie, Arntz, Terry, Gregory and Ulrich, Zierahn
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| 260 |
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|a Paris
|b OECD Publishing
|c 2016
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| 300 |
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|a 34 p.
|c 21 x 29.7cm
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| 653 |
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|a Employment
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| 653 |
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|a Social Issues/Migration/Health
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| 700 |
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|a Gregory, Terry
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|a Zierahn, Ulrich
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|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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| 989 |
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|b OECD
|a OECD Books and Papers
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|a OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers
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|a 10.1787/5jlz9h56dvq7-en
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| 856 |
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|a oecd-ilibrary.org
|u https://doi.org/10.1787/5jlz9h56dvq7-en
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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|a 304
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|a 610
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|a 330
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|a In recent years, there has been a revival of concerns that automation and digitalisation might after all result in a jobless future. The debate has been fuelled by studies for the US and Europe arguing that a substantial share of jobs is at "risk of computerisation". These studies follow an occupation-based approach proposed by Frey and Osborne (2013), i.e. they assume that whole occupations rather than single job-tasks are automated by technology. As we argue, this might lead to an overestimation of job automatibility, as occupations labelled as high-risk occupations often still contain a substantial share of tasks that are hard to automate. Our paper serves two purposes. Firstly, we estimate the job automatibility of jobs for 21 OECD countries based on a task-based approach. In contrast to other studies, we take into account the heterogeneity of workers' tasks within occupations. Overall, we find that, on average across the 21 OECD countries, 9 % of jobs are automatable. The threat from technological advances thus seems much less pronounced compared to the occupation-based approach. We further find heterogeneities across OECD countries. For instance, while the share of automatable jobs is 6 % in Korea, the corresponding share is 12 % in Austria. Differences between countries may reflect general differences in workplace organisation, differences in previous investments into automation technologies as well as differences in the education of workers across countries
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