Uphill Capital Flows and the International Monetary System

Uphill capital flows constitute a key transmission channel through which reserve accumulation can distort the stability of the international monetary system. This paper examines and quantifies the importance of this transmission channel by examining how foreign official purchases of U.S. Treasuries...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Csonto, Balazs
Other Authors: Tovar Mora, Camilo
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2017
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Interest rates 
653 |a Foreign exchange reserves 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Securities 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Financial services 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts 
653 |a Yield curve 
653 |a Central banks 
653 |a International Financial Markets 
653 |a Reserves accumulation 
653 |a Capital flows 
653 |a International Policy Coordination and Transmission 
653 |a Financial instruments 
653 |a International reserves 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Central Banks and Their Policies 
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520 |a Uphill capital flows constitute a key transmission channel through which reserve accumulation can distort the stability of the international monetary system. This paper examines and quantifies the importance of this transmission channel by examining how foreign official purchases of U.S. Treasuries influences the U.S. yield curve at different maturities. Our findings suggest that a percentage point increase in foreign official holdings relative to outstanding marketable securities reduces the term premium by 2.0–2.4 basis points at maturities of 2–3 years. These estimates are then used to gauge the role of a global policy in reducing excess reserve accumulation?e.g., a composite global reserve asset or through global liquidity facilities. Findings show that a policy that reduces the demand for Treasuries by $100 billion would increase yields by 1.5–1.8 basis points