The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Tariffs Revisiting the Lerner Symmetry Result

We study the robustness of the Lerner symmetry result in an open economy New Keynesian model with price rigidities. While the Lerner symmetry result of no real effects of a combined import tariff and export subsidy holds up approximately for a number of alternative assumptions, we obtain quantitativ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lindé, Jesper
Other Authors: Pescatori, Andrea
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2017
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Tariffs  |b Revisiting the Lerner Symmetry Result  |c Jesper Lindé, Andrea Pescatori 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2017 
300 |a 54 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Tariffs 
653 |a Tariff 
653 |a International Trade Organizations 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Export subsidies 
653 |a Taxes 
653 |a Trade Policy 
653 |a Currency 
653 |a Trade: General 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a International trade 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Central Banks and Their Policies 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a Taxation 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Imports 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
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520 |a We study the robustness of the Lerner symmetry result in an open economy New Keynesian model with price rigidities. While the Lerner symmetry result of no real effects of a combined import tariff and export subsidy holds up approximately for a number of alternative assumptions, we obtain quantitatively important long-term deviations under complete international asset markets. Direct pass-through of tariffs and subsidies to prices and slow exchange rate adjustment can also generate significant short-term deviations from Lerner. Finally, we quantify the macroeconomic costs of a trade war and find that they can be substantial, with permanently lower income and trade volumes. However, a fully symmetric retaliation to a unilaterally imposed border adjustment tax can prevent any real or nominal effects