Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries Balancing Financial Stability and Development

We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be conducted with different tools at different stages of financial development. In particular...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Marchettini, Daniela
Other Authors: Maino, Rodolfo
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2015
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Description
Summary:We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be conducted with different tools at different stages of financial development. In particular, when the level of financial depth is low, traditional leading indicators of banking crises have poor predictive performance and the analysis should be based on indicators that account for financial deepening while taking into consideration countries' structural limits. By using this framework, we provide a preliminary assessment of systemic risk buildup in individual SSA countries
Physical Description:40 pages
ISBN:9781513545882