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180614 ||| eng |
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|a 9781475554823
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100 |
1 |
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|a Oeking, Anne
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|a Arrears to the IMF – A Ghost of the Past?
|c Anne Oeking, Mariusz Sumlinski
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260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2016
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300 |
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|a 40 pages
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651 |
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4 |
|a United States
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653 |
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|a Price indexes
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653 |
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|a Inflation
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653 |
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|a Credit
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653 |
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|a International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
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653 |
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|a Econometric analysis
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653 |
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|a Monetary economics
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653 |
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|a Commodity price indexes
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653 |
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|a Deflation
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653 |
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|a Proportions
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653 |
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|a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
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653 |
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|a Logit models
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653 |
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|a Exports and Imports
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653 |
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|a Arrears
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653 |
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|a International economics
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653 |
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|a International Lending and Debt Problems
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653 |
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|a Debts, External
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653 |
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|a External debt
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653 |
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|a Money
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653 |
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|a Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
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653 |
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|a Price Level
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653 |
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|a Econometric models
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653 |
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|a Prices
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653 |
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|a Macroeconomics
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653 |
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|a Econometrics
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653 |
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|a Econometrics & economic statistics
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653 |
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|a Money and Monetary Policy
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653 |
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|a Discrete Regressors
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700 |
1 |
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|a Sumlinski, Mariusz
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041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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989 |
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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490 |
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|a IMF Working Papers
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028 |
5 |
0 |
|a 10.5089/9781475554823.001
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856 |
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|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2016/225/001.2016.issue-225-en.xml?cid=44408-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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|a 330
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|a In this paper, we consider incidences of arrears to the IMF, focusing on protracted arrears cases and attempt to identify determinants of their occurrence. We use narrative and formal methods. In addition, we analyze determinants of the duration of arrears. We find that previous arrears, reserves coverage, and institutional quality are among the main determinants of arrears. In addition, we identify a role for political developments, including civil unrest, which make arrears more likely to arise and to last longer. We conclude that improved macroeconomic conditions and turnaround of political fortunes would help to clear the currently remaining protracted arrears cases
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