Fiscal Multipliers for Brazil

We find historical fiscal multipliers for Brazil around 0.5, larger than what existing literature typically identifies for the average emerging market. However, spending and public credit multipliers seem to have dropped to near zero since the global financial crisis, as the estimate for the whole s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Matheson, Troy
Other Authors: Pereira, Joana
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2016
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Credit 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Banks and banking 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Fiscal multipliers 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
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520 |a We find historical fiscal multipliers for Brazil around 0.5, larger than what existing literature typically identifies for the average emerging market. However, spending and public credit multipliers seem to have dropped to near zero since the global financial crisis, as the estimate for the whole sample period (1999-2014) is about ½ of that for precrisis years. By contrast, revenue multipliers have remained broadly stable. We conclude that fiscal consolidations based on expenditure and public credit retrenchment are likely to entail a modest drag on growth in the near term