Private Sector Activity in Hong Kong SAR and the Fed Transmission Effects through the Currency Board

As the U.S. Fed begins to increase the Federal Funds rate, interest rates in Hong Kong SAR will rise in tandem under the Currency Board system. While domestic economic activity in Hong Kong SAR remained resilient in previous rate hike cycles, there is a concern that the impact of higher interest rat...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kang, Joong
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2016
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Private consumption 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Corporate Finance and Governance: General 
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653 |a Debts, External 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Debt burden 
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653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
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653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
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520 |a As the U.S. Fed begins to increase the Federal Funds rate, interest rates in Hong Kong SAR will rise in tandem under the Currency Board system. While domestic economic activity in Hong Kong SAR remained resilient in previous rate hike cycles, there is a concern that the impact of higher interest rates would be larger this time due to historic high levels of leverage in both household and corporate sectors. However, macroprudential measures have contained the debt service burden among new borrowers and leverage quality of corporate sector is healthier than its peers in the region. Empirical estimations of aggregate consumption and corporate investment show that private domestic demand is likely to remain robust with the anticipated gradual increase in interest rates over the next few years and taking into account the buffers in the system