Financial Factors Implications for Output Gaps

We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level, between 2000-2013. After joining the monetary union, a decline in some countries’ bo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Rabanal, Pau
Other Authors: Taheri Sanjani, Marzie
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2015
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Financial Factors  |b Implications for Output Gaps  |c Pau Rabanal, Marzie Taheri Sanjani 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2015 
300 |a 57 pages 
651 4 |a Spain 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Real Estate 
653 |a Potential output 
653 |a Output gap 
653 |a Infrastructure 
653 |a Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Housing Supply and Markets 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Housing 
653 |a Housing; Prices 
653 |a Production; Economic theory 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Model Construction and Estimation 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Property & real estate 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Cycles 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Housing prices 
653 |a Production and Operations Management 
700 1 |a Taheri Sanjani, Marzie 
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520 |a We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level, between 2000-2013. After joining the monetary union, a decline in some countries’ borrowing costs contributed to a credit, housing and real boom and bust cycle. We show that financial frictions amplified economic fluctuations and the measure of the output gap in those countries. On the contrary, in countries such as France and Germany, financial frictions played a minor role in output gap measures. We also present evidence of the trade-offs faced by the European Central Bank when trying to stabilize two regions in a currency union with unsynchronized economic cycles