|
|
|
|
| LEADER |
02789nmm a2200553 u 4500 |
| 001 |
EB001308380 |
| 003 |
EBX01000000000000000892992 |
| 005 |
00000000000000.0 |
| 007 |
cr||||||||||||||||||||| |
| 008 |
161223 ||| eng |
| 020 |
|
|
|a 9781513520551
|
| 100 |
1 |
|
|a Liu, Estelle
|
| 245 |
0 |
0 |
|a Correcting “Beyond the Cycle"
|b Accounting for Asset Prices in Structural Fiscal Balances
|c Estelle Liu, Todd Mattina, Tigran Poghosyan
|
| 260 |
|
|
|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2015
|
| 300 |
|
|
|a 36 pages
|
| 651 |
|
4 |
|a Spain
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Fiscal stance
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Business cycles
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Inflation
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Real Estate
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Output gap
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Deflation
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a National Deficit Surplus
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Housing Supply and Markets
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Fiscal Policy
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Production
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Housing
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Fiscal policy
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Asset prices
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Macroeconomics: Production
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Property & real estate
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Price Level
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Economic growth
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Prices
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Macroeconomics
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Economic theory
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Housing prices
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Production and Operations Management
|
| 653 |
|
|
|a Financial Crises
|
| 700 |
1 |
|
|a Mattina, Todd
|
| 700 |
1 |
|
|a Poghosyan, Tigran
|
| 041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
|
| 989 |
|
|
|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
|
| 490 |
0 |
|
|a IMF Working Papers
|
| 028 |
5 |
0 |
|a 10.5089/9781513520551.001
|
| 856 |
4 |
0 |
|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2015/109/001.2015.issue-109-en.xml?cid=42946-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
|
| 082 |
0 |
|
|a 330
|
| 520 |
|
|
|a This paper outlines an operational approach for incorporating the impact of asset price cycles in the calculation of structural fiscal balances (SFBs). The global financial crisis demonstrated that movements in asset prices can have an important fiscal impact. Failing to account for the fiscal impact of asset price cycles can encourage a pro-cyclical policy stance if temporarily high revenues are passed through into expenditures. In addition, over-estimating the SFB may lead to inadequate fiscal buffers when cyclical revenues eventually dissipate. The paper proposes an empirical approach to correct for asset prices and provides illustrative country results for selected OECD countries. We find that asset price cycles are imperfectly synchronized with the business cycle and are quantitatively significant with an average pre-crisis fiscal impact ranging from about ½ to 2 percent of GDP in the sample. For a number of countries, the pre-crisis fiscal impact of high asset prices was larger at about 4 percent of GDP.
|