Credit Booms and Macroeconomic Dynamics Stylized Facts and Lessons for Low-Income Countries

Using a comprehensive database on bank credit, covering 135 developing countries over the period 1960–2011, we identify, document, and compare the macro-economic dynamics of credit booms across low- and middle-income countries. The results suggest that while the duration and magnitude of credit boom...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Arena, Marco
Other Authors: Bouza, Serpil, Dabla-Norris, Era, Gerling, Kerstin
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2015
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Credit 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Cycles 
653 |a Capital inflows 
653 |a Money Multipliers 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Monetary expansion 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Money Supply 
653 |a Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Banking crises 
653 |a Monetary policy 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Credit booms 
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520 |a Using a comprehensive database on bank credit, covering 135 developing countries over the period 1960–2011, we identify, document, and compare the macro-economic dynamics of credit booms across low- and middle-income countries. The results suggest that while the duration and magnitude of credit booms is similar across country groups, macro-economic dynamics differ somewhat in low-income countries. We further find that surges in capital inflows are associated with credit booms. Moreover, credit booms associated with banking crises exhibit distinct macroeconomic dynamics, while also reflecting a potentially large deviation of credit from country fundamentals. These results suggest that low-income countries should remain mindful of the inter-linkages between financial liberalization, increased cross-border banking activities, and rapid credit growth