Demand Patterns in France, Germany, and Belgium Can We Explain the Differences?

The need to revive Euro area growth highlights the importance of the evolution of domestic and external demand in the core. This paper puts recent demand patterns in France, Germany, and Belgium into historical perspective. We find that, first, dynamics for private consumption, non-residential busin...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lebrun, Igor
Other Authors: Perez Ruiz, Esther
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2014
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a France 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Private consumption 
653 |a Disposable income 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Policy Designs and Consistency 
653 |a Fiscal Policy 
653 |a Trade: General 
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653 |a Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General 
653 |a Policy Objectives 
653 |a Policy Coordination 
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653 |a Exports 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
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520 |a The need to revive Euro area growth highlights the importance of the evolution of domestic and external demand in the core. This paper puts recent demand patterns in France, Germany, and Belgium into historical perspective. We find that, first, dynamics for private consumption, non-residential business investment, and exports since 2008 is dominated by conventional determinants, with no discernible structural break as a result of the crisis. Second, although country-specific factors matter in some cases, demand patterns in these countries are largely driven by common determinants. Third, developments in common fundamentals tend to dominate demand dynamics, coupled, in a few cases, with structurally different elasticities across countries. Fourth, short-term analysis suggests a role for confidence and uncertainty factors in explaining temporary deviations of these variables from long-term fundamentals