Exchange Rates in Central Europe A Blessing or a Curse?

Central European accession countries (CECs) are currently considering when to adopt the euro. From the perspective of macroeconomic stabilization, the cost or benefit of giving up a flexible exchange rate depends on the types of asymmetric shocks hitting the economy and the ability of the exchange r...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kuijs, Louis
Other Authors: Borghijs, Alain
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2004
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a Czech Republic 
653 |a Exchange rate arrangements 
653 |a International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions 
653 |a Dynamic Treatment Effect Models 
653 |a Currency; Foreign exchange 
653 |a Exchange rate adjustments 
653 |a Diffusion Processes 
653 |a Time-Series Models 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Exchange rate flexibility 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Dynamic Quantile Regressions 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a State Space Models 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
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520 |a Central European accession countries (CECs) are currently considering when to adopt the euro. From the perspective of macroeconomic stabilization, the cost or benefit of giving up a flexible exchange rate depends on the types of asymmetric shocks hitting the economy and the ability of the exchange rate to act as a shock absorber. Economic theory suggests that flexible exchange rates are useful in absorbing asymmetric real shocks but unhelpful in the case of monetary and financial shocks. For five CECs-the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, the Slovak Republic, and Slovenia-empirical results on the basis of a structural VAR suggest that in the CECs the exchange rate appears to have served as much or more as an unhelpful propagator of monetary and financial shocks than as a useful absorber of real shocks