Determinants of Deflation in Hong Kong SAR

This paper presents a comprehensive econometric analysis of the determinants of deflation in Hong Kong SAR. The analysis helps to determine the relative contributions of factors such as increased productivity, scarce money supply, and excess capacity in determining deflation. The main conclusion is...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: N'Diaye, Papa
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2003
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Determinants of Deflation in Hong Kong SAR  |c Papa N'Diaye 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2003 
300 |a 28 pages 
651 4 |a Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China 
653 |a Price indexes 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Credit 
653 |a Dynamic Treatment Effect Models 
653 |a Productivity 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Industrial productivity 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Consumer price indexes 
653 |a Diffusion Processes 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Time-Series Models 
653 |a Money supply 
653 |a Asset prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Monetary base 
653 |a Money Supply 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Central Banks and Their Policies 
653 |a Dynamic Quantile Regressions 
653 |a Monetary Policy 
653 |a Money Multipliers 
653 |a State Space Models 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Production and Operations Management 
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520 |a This paper presents a comprehensive econometric analysis of the determinants of deflation in Hong Kong SAR. The analysis helps to determine the relative contributions of factors such as increased productivity, scarce money supply, and excess capacity in determining deflation. The main conclusion is that the effects of permanent shocks, such as productivity shocks and shocks related to changes in the money supply and price convergence with trading partners, have become more important in explaining deflation. In addition, the effects of temporary shifts in aggregate demand have been perpetuated by negative wealth and balance-sheet effects in the corporate and household sectors arising from asset-price declines over the past five years