Fatal Attraction A New Measure of Contagion

This paper proposes a new measure of contagion that is good at anticipating future vulnerabilities. Building on previous work, it uses correlations of equity markets across countries to measure contagion, but in a departure from previous practice it measures contagion using the relationship of these...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bayoumi, Tamim
Other Authors: Fazio, Giorgio, Kumar, Manmohan, MacDonald, Ronald
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2003
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 02682nmm a2200589 u 4500
001 EB000931914
003 EBX01000000000000000725510
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 150128 ||| eng
020 |a 9781451850321 
100 1 |a Bayoumi, Tamim 
245 0 0 |a Fatal Attraction  |b A New Measure of Contagion  |c Tamim Bayoumi, Manmohan Kumar, Giorgio Fazio, Ronald MacDonald 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2003 
300 |a 21 pages 
651 4 |a Russian Federation 
653 |a Stock exchanges 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Saving and Capital Investment 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Currency 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Economic Development: Financial Markets 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Capital inflows 
653 |a Emerging and frontier financial markets 
653 |a Stock markets 
653 |a Financial services industry 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Capital movements 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
653 |a International Investment 
653 |a Corporate Finance and Governance 
700 1 |a Fazio, Giorgio 
700 1 |a Kumar, Manmohan 
700 1 |a MacDonald, Ronald 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
028 5 0 |a 10.5089/9781451850321.001 
856 4 0 |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2003/080/001.2003.issue-080-en.xml?cid=16450-com-dsp-marc  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a This paper proposes a new measure of contagion that is good at anticipating future vulnerabilities. Building on previous work, it uses correlations of equity markets across countries to measure contagion, but in a departure from previous practice it measures contagion using the relationship of these correlations with distance. Also in contrast to previous work, our test is good at identifying periods of "positive contagion," in which capital flows to emerging markets in a herd-like manner, largely unrelated to fundamentals. Identifying such periods of "fatal attraction" is important as they provide the essential ingredients for subsequent crises and rapid outflows of capital