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150128 ||| eng |
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|a 9781455211814
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100 |
1 |
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|a Abiad, Abdul
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245 |
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|a How Does Trade Evolve in the Aftermath of Financial Crises?
|c Abdul Abiad, Petia Topalova, Prachi Mishra
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260 |
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|a Washington, D.C.
|b International Monetary Fund
|c 2011
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300 |
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|a 54 pages
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651 |
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4 |
|a United States
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653 |
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|a Economic & financial crises & disasters
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653 |
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|a Econometric Modeling: General
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653 |
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|a Econometric analysis
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653 |
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|a Financial crises
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653 |
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|a Trade: General
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653 |
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|a Exports and Imports
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653 |
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|a Gravity models
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653 |
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|a International economics
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653 |
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|a International trade
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653 |
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|a Econometric models
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653 |
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|a Exports
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653 |
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|a Banks and Banking
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653 |
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|a Banking crises
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653 |
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|a Econometrics
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653 |
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|a Econometrics & economic statistics
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653 |
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|a Financial Risk Management
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653 |
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|a Imports
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653 |
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|a Financial Crises
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700 |
1 |
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|a Topalova, Petia
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700 |
1 |
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|a Mishra, Prachi
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041 |
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7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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989 |
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|b IMF
|a International Monetary Fund
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|a IMF Working Papers
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028 |
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|a 10.5089/9781455211814.001
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856 |
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|u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2011/003/001.2011.issue-003-en.xml?cid=24553-com-dsp-marc
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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|a 330
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520 |
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|a We analyze trade dynamics following past episodes of financial crises. Using an augmented gravity model and 179 crisis episodes from 1970-2009, we find that there is a sharp decline in a country’s imports in the year following a crisis-19 percent, on average-and this decline is persistent, with imports recovering to their gravity-predicted levels only after 10 years. In contrast, exports of the crisis country are not adversely affected, and they remain close to the predicted level in both the short and medium-term
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